Q3 FY25 Auto Segment Profit Survey: Lull in Development, Edge Weight; Maruti Suzuki, Mahindra, Hyundai Stay Best Picks

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India’s auto industry detailed a blended pack of comes about for Q3 FY25, with minimal development in household deals, quieted productivity, and sector-specific divergences. Agreeing to a nitty gritty examination by Motilal Oswal Monetary Administrations (MOFSL), the division saw volume development of fair 3% year-on-year (YoY), barring tractor deals. In spite of merry season advancements and modern item dispatches, benefit edges were hit by rising showcasing costs, forex instability, and forceful discounting.

Segment-Wise Auto Division Execution: Q3 FY25 Overview

Traveler Vehicles (PV): Shinning Spot in Auto Sales

  • Overall PV volume development: +4.5% YoY
  • SUVs and Vans: Solid 11.5% YoY growth
  • Passenger cars: Drooped by 8% YoY in the midst of weak little car demand
  • Key Drivers: SUV request surge, festive-season launches

Commercial Vehicles (CV): Lukewarm Growth

  • Total CV development: Fair 1% YoY
  • Goods section: Contracted by 5% YoY
  • Buses (MHCV): Upheld by foundation and open transport investments
  • LCVs: Posted unassuming 3% YoY rise

Two-Wheelers (2W): Trades Up, Household Request Sluggish

  • 2W Trades: +29% YoY (moo base effect)
  • Domestic 2W Deals: Drowsy in spite of progressed rustic showcase sentiment
  • Top Send out Entertainers: Bajaj Auto, TVS Engine Company

Tractors: Beating Segment

  • Tractor deals development: Strong 14% YoY
  • Driver: Solid provincial request and favorable monsoons

Auto Trades Viewpoint: Recuperation Uneven Over Markets

  • 2W & PV Send out Development: 29% and 19% YoY, separately (moo base)
  • Emerging Markets: Africa, Latin America, and Center East appear positive signs
  • Developed Markets: Europe remains frail; North America appears a few resilience
  • Outlook: Trade recuperation still dubious for Indian OEMs and auto subordinate stocks like Bharat Fashion, Motherson, and Expert Automation

Auto Division Edges Beneath Weight in Q3 FY25

According to MOFSL:

  • Revenue Development (Auto Universe excl. CIE India): +7% YoY
  • EBITDA: Down 2% YoY
  • PAT (Benefit After Assess): Down 3% YoY
  • EBITDA Edges: Compressed by 120 bps YoY to 13%

Key Fetched Pressures:

  • Higher promoting spends amid happy season
  • Steeper discounts
  • Forex losses

OEMs vs Auto Ancillaries

OEMs (Unique Hardware Manufacturers):

  • Revenue: +7%
  • EBITDA: -1%
  • PAT: -2%

Auto Ancillaries:

  • Revenue: +8%
  • EBITDA: -8%
  • PAT: Level YoY

Profit Assess Modifications: EPS Minimize Over the Board

Due to request lull and dubious trade viewpoint, examiners downsized profit projections for a huge parcel of the scope universe.

Notable Minimize for FY26E EPS:

  • Hyundai Engine India: -9%
  • Escorts Kubota: -10%
  • Exide Businesses: -13%
  • Samvardhana Motherson Worldwide: -15%
  • Bharat Produce: -17%
  • Craftsman Computerization: -20%

Beat Auto Stocks to Observe for FY26: MOFSL Recommendations

Despite near-term challenges, MOFSL remains bullish on the PV portion, anticipating a recuperation in development and benefit from FY26 onward.

Beat OEM Picks:

  • Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL): Remains best recommendation
  • Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M): Solid provincial and SUV portfolio
  • Hyundai Engine India: Innovation-led development with hybrid/electric push

Beat Auto Subordinate Picks:

  • Endurance Technologies
  • Happy Forgings
  • Samvardhana Motherson Universal (in spite of near-term trade headwinds)

Auto Division Viewpoint: What to Anticipate in Q4 FY25 and Beyond

  • Volume Development: Anticipated to stay in low-to-mid single digits over 2W, PV, and CV segments
  • Margins: Likely to stabilize as crude fabric costs plateau
  • Export Dangers: Diligent vulnerability in worldwide markets may weigh on performance
  • Ancillaries with Worldwide Introduction: May proceed confronting edge compression and profit volatility

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